The world and your operating environment constantly change in ways that are outside your control and impossible to predict.
Nevertheless, as a decision maker you need to develop a strategy that successfully takes your organisation beyond its immediate horizon.
Scenario planning facilitates a structured dialogue about the forces of change that are shaping the world we live in and the operating environment you will have to compete in.
By providing structure in uncertainty, scenario planning equips decision makers with a powerful toolkit to formulate robust longer-term strategies.
Although we cannot predict the future, there are ways to explore the range of plausible futures.
Illuminating the corners of the ‘playing field’, scenario planning stretches your team’s frames of reference enabling you to identify signals of change and adapt to them in a timely fashion.
Business Model Analysis
Determine the Scope
Explore the External Environment
Develop the Scenario
Establish the Key Uncertainties
Monitor and Strategic Adaptability
Generate and validate Strategic Options
A changing world and the uncertainty that it brings means that business-as-usual planning is no longer fit for purpose. However, getting your team aligned on what that uncertainty looks like – and what it means for your organisation – often proves elusive. Built to address these challenges, the scenario planning Sprint improves the focus and productivity of your strategic planning. A proven method for creating structure in uncertainty, scenario planning will provide you and your team with new and credible insights to stress-test your organisation’s strategy for the future.CONTACT US TO LEARN MORE
How are changes in the economy, technology, society and the environment affecting your business model? Every organisation has a unique way of creating, delivering and capturing value. However, the trends that are shaping your operating environment are unpredictable and produce strategic uncertainties that impact your business model and your strategy. Together with your team, our Business Model Analysis will create a shared understanding and common language of your organisation’s core value proposition, how vulnerable it is to a changing future, and what you can do about it to be fit for tomorrow’s world.CONTACT US TO LEARN MORE
Uncover the organisation's value proposition
What are the key elements that make up the organisation’s value proposition?How exposed are those elements to changes in the external environment?
Determine the scope
What is the focal question that we are trying to answer? What is the time horizon? What are the boundaries? Who are the relevant stakeholders?
Explore the external environment
What are the trends (both macro and industry specific) that the organisation has no influence over, but which shape the future operating environment that your organisation will find itself in?
Establish key uncertainties
Of these trends, which are the ones that are most uncertain, and will have the biggest impact?These two key uncertainties (‘change drivers’) form the scenario framework
Develop the scenario
Once the scenario framework has been developed, one can detail the scenario stories; what could be the causes of the scenarios, and what are the characteristics of each scenario?
Generate and validate strategic options
Once the scenarios have been developed, one can identify the key challenges and opportunities, as well as strategic options to address the challenges and capture the opportunities